Memes!
Friday, April 24, 2020
The Tea Party,
Activism and the Road to Trump and Current Republican Politics
In the Williamson et al paper about the Tea Party and its
effects on the Republican Party and Conservatism in the United States, they discuss
how the Tea Party arose after the demoralizing defeat of the Republican party
in the elections in 2008. It emerged as an activist movement in favor of
conservative policies and values. Even though the Tea Party was not an actual
political party with representation in congress, the party influenced
conservative voters all across the country to vote for candidates on the Republican
side that embodied more of their values than previous Republicans. The values
of the Tea Party mostly attracted white middle-class conservatives that did not
wish to see expansion of government and wanted current programs or less
programs that would ultimately benefit those who they believed earned their economic
and political places in society rather than to the undeserving who were perceived as freeloaders that received handouts
from the government. Although many conservatives across the nation did not
rally under the banner of the Tea Party nor did they necessarily agree with every
policy that the Tea Party represented, the politics and ideals of the Tea Party
were influential enough to slowly but surely push the Republican party more to
the right edge of the ideological scale. The grassroot network of the Tea Party
inspired other conservatives to push for more conservative values in their candidates
and in 2010 the Republicans took control of the House of Representatives for
the next six years under President Obama. Eventually the Republicans were able
to take control of the Senate as well and held the House and the Senate for the
last two years of Obama’s tenure as President. Although the Tea Party did not
completely reshape Republican values and take over the countries politics in a
dramatic way it did push Republicans politics more to the right and gave the
Republican party the jump start it needed after the Republicans seemed widely
discredited in the politics after the 2008 election.
The
results of the 2016 election came as a big surprise to many around the country.
Many voters and political scholars believed that Hillary Clinton was sure to
win the election against Donald Trump. Surveys showed that Hillary Clinton was
leading Donald Trump in almost every poll and many news sources across the
country showed favorable predictions for her. Yet, as we know today Donald Trump
was elected as the president instead of Hillary Clinton. Many scholars have
given myriad of reasons why Trump beat Clinton in the election. These have ranged
from the silent Trump vote, name recognition, populist movements against immigration
and trade and a politically divided America. What I focus on is that the Tea Party
ultimately paved the way for a Donald Trump like candidate.
Donald
Trump is a candidate that leans further to the right than other Republican candidates
before him or even in the primaries before becoming the candidate for the Republican
party. When looking at a comparison of the Tea Party Platform and the platform
that Trump ran on in 2016, we can see the following comparison. Both the Tea Party
and Trump want to get rid of Obamacare and replace it with a system that allows
more freedom for the consumers. Both want strong immigration policies that will
be enforced. Both are perceived as anti-big government or as Trump puts it “draining
the swamp.” Both have strong positions on the first and second amendment rights
and both have made a series of statements on voter integrity. Essentially all
of the big goals that the Tea Party has are in line with the values that Trump
proposes to have. Even though Trump has never said he is a Tea Party candidate,
although he certainly has never turned down support from them, he represents
many of the concerns that stem from this political grass-root network. The Tea Party
helped start a movement that ultimately pushed the Republican party more to the
right and inspired a wave of conservatism that created a almost perfect
environment for Donald Trump to be elected in 2016. Looking back at the
politics in congress as the Republicans over the years slowly took over the House
and the Senate and many voters across the nation, in particular white middle
class and even the white uneducated demographic of society, found their
candidate in Donald Trump who in a way reflects the shift change in conservative
mentality and the Republican party in general.
Monday, April 13, 2020
Friday, April 10, 2020
Black Democrats and Motivated Reasoning
In 2012 the American National Election Survey did a study on Black voters. They found that when a Black citizen was asked if they were a democrat by a Black interviewer they were 12.6% more likely to answer yes than if they were asked by a Non-Black interviewer. This ANES study demonstrates the loyalty Black citizens feel to the Black community they are apart of. There exists solidarity amongst the Black population, it runs rich and deep and I argue that the solidarity felt amongst the Black population plays as a type of motivated reasoning for their partisanship.
Motivated reasoning, as reviewed and presented by Thomas J. Leeper and Rune Slothuus in the Journal of Advances in Political Psychology, is the theory that all reasoning is motivated, that when someone processes new information, that processing is done through filters driven by certain goals. In the case of Black citizens choosing to be democrats, the goal is to be accepted by their Black community. Motivated reasoning is what one uses to take a conflicting idea and fit it into an existing world view, to remain in a place of comfort and is used to escape sitting in cognitive dissonance.
Ismail White the author of Steadfast Democrats: How Social Forces Shape Black Political Behavior says that “90% of black Americans support the democratic party is because they have been empowered through that support.” Black voters have primarily voted with the Democratic Party since the Civil Rights Movement because the Democratic Party helped them achieve the political rights they were seeking after. They have felt empowered through the party and motivated by the possibility of change that they felt in the party during the 60’s. Black Americans see the solidarity in their community as both empowering and a path to creating a large enough group to have a voice within policymaking. If the “Black Vote” was divided between the two parties like the “White Vote,” is it wouldn’t hold the same power that it has when it’s one unified group.
Motivated reasoning exists among black voters, as they use race as a motive in determining their partisanship. The graph below, from the Pew Research Institute, demonstrates that of White, Hispanic and Black Democrats, Black Democrats are the least likely to call align themselves with the “liberal,” ideology. This is somewhat surprising considering to the layman being a “liberal,” can be synonymous to be being a Democrat. It is safe to assume that there must be some other type of pull for Black voters, besides idealogy, to the Democratic party. I theorize that the pull is for acceptance in their Black community, and identity group that makes up a majority of their social network. In 2000, Ismail White and Chyd Laird did found from the 2000 Census that out of 100 people that Black Americans interact with, 72 of them will also by Black American. Acceptance into one’s own social network seems an obvious motivation to declare oneself as a Democrat, even if it means giving up idealogy. As an aside: the idea of changing ideology, and staying with party, rather than changing partisanship, is said to exist amongst those who show interest and have some knowledge of politics and amongst those who just have knowledge of politics. Either way, it’s more common to give into motivated reasoning and adjust idealogy rather than partisanship. This is likely for the same reasons that Black Americans adapt their ideology, or rather, not give in to their ideology because they feel the pull of their group identity and social pressure. Or, in defending Leeper and Slohuus, they give in to their motivated reasoning rather than their ideology.
There have been studies done by FiveThirtyEight demonstrating the strong social pressure that exists among Black democrats. One study in particular, related to the 2012 presidential election represented the social pressure Black Americans face. A study was performed on a group of Black students and their tendencies to donate to a presidential campaign alone versus when they were with another Black student. With the social pressure of another Black student in the room, who verbally announced their support for Obama, the student, on average, donated $3 more than when they were alone. This same study was done by The Atlantic, accept instead of being with another Black student, they were told their donation amounts would be printed in the school paper. The same results were found, higher numbers amongst those who were told that their donations would be publicized.
These two studies highlight the profound strength that is found within the Black community. However, they also demonstrate the social pressure Black voters feel to deny ideology and stick to partisanship, to the party that has made differences for them in the post. The power of group identity is very strong, however, it can be an obstacle to people making reasoned decisions in terms of their partisanship and voting behavior.
What we've learned about US Political Parties so far...
Here's a link to my "so what presentation" if anyone is interested in seeing it:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nNfIhYgTTPc
Thursday, April 9, 2020
Wednesday, April 8, 2020
Anna Heaton
I really love memes about the upcoming election, and I feel like they relate to this class a lot. Here they are:
Tuesday, April 7, 2020
meme time babey
This is perhaps a sentiment I would have agreed with before
I took this class. It is very interesting how many functions political parties
have- coalition forming, interest aggregation, issue structuring, candidate nomination,
electoral mobilization, and more.
Bawn et al.
Murray, Krook, and Opello
Plus a bonus meme
Dolezal et al
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